Public Research Monitor

Leveraged ETF & Crypto Tactical Allocation Research

This site is an independent research monitor for tactical allocation models across leveraged ETFs and crypto-linked instruments. The focus is drawdown control, regime-aware exposure, reproducible signal artifacts, and failure-mode analysis rather than return prediction.

Static Research Context

Research Sleeves

These summaries are written into the page source for search engines, crawlers, and readers who want the research framing before reading the live dashboard.

Primary Sleeve

TQQQ Confirmed Trend Timing

Primary leveraged Nasdaq sleeve using long moving-average trend confirmation and a defensive cash state when trend structure fails.

Key risk: delayed exits/reentries and embedded daily 3x ETF leverage.

Satellite Sleeve

SOXL Adaptive Reentry

Higher-volatility semiconductor satellite sleeve using a faster trend filter and reentry logic. It has higher turnover and more signal flips than the TQQQ sleeve.

Key risk: volatility, whipsaw, execution friction, and missed V-shaped rebounds.

Unleveraged Research Sleeve

QQQ Risk Thermostat

Unleveraged QQQ Backtrader broker-order sleeve with max exposure capped at 100%. The research focus is drawdown reduction, rolling robustness, and broker-order accounting.

Key risk: lower upside capture in persistent bull markets and delayed reentry after defensive regimes.

Experimental Sleeve

FGVT-X XYZ100 Perp

Experimental short-sample crypto-linked perpetual futures sleeve using QQQ trend state plus funding and volatility gates.

Current real sample is short. Key risk: funding, liquidation, exchange risk, and short-sample annualization.

Strategies

Strategy List

Strategy Period Period Return CAGR MaxDD Calmar Sharpe Turnover Signal Flips Live

FGVT-X annualized metrics are Short-sample diagnostic only. Annualized from 2025-10-13 to 2026-05-20; not a long-term estimate and not directly comparable with the longer TQQQ/SOXL research windows.

Today

Live Allocation

Loading the latest paper signal.

Execution Log

Recent Runs

Most recent aggregate runs, grouped by run timestamp.

Run / Check Time Asset Signal Cutoff State Target Cash Changed Reason

Risk Notice

Important Risk Information

This dashboard is for personal research and monitoring only. It is not financial advice, investment recommendation, or an instruction to trade. Leveraged ETFs can suffer large losses, volatility decay, tracking error, liquidity stress, and overnight gap risk. Perpetual futures add funding, liquidation, exchange, and execution risks. Use position sizing and independent judgment before trading.